STRONG 80/100

auto · BAJAJ_AUTO

Bajaj Auto

Bajaj Auto: PE above historical average. NARROW LEADERSHIP regime.

Price

₹11,432

Price 2026-07-30

5 day

+2.71%

Short-term move

1 month

+17.66%

Medium-term

Regime

NARROW LEADERSHIP

62% confidence

Market cap

₹282.3k Cr

neutral sector flow

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Price chart

11,374

+35.79% over period

2025-06-307,739 – ₹11,6432026-07-28

About Bajaj Auto

Nifty 50auto

Bajaj Auto Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and distribution of automobiles in India and internationally. The company offers motorcycles, bikes, commercial vehicles, electric two-wheelers, and three-wheeler, as well as related parts and accessories. It also provides financing services for automobiles, as well as exports its products. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Pune, India.

Auto ManufacturersPune, India5,231 employeesWebsite →

At a Glance

ValuationPE 26.3 (43%ile of 7 quarterly points (limited history), range 17-30). Trading near median.
Sector Positionauto sector. Flow: neutral. is not among current leaders. Regime: NARROW LEADERSHIP (62%).
Fundamental Score80/100 (STRONG). 4 positive flags, 6 concerns.
Historical ContextRSI oversold bounces for this stock succeeded only 0% of the time (avg -7.7% over 14 days) — not a reliable pattern.
Revenue TrendRevenue growing at 3700.0% YoY. Strong revenue growth — 3700.0% YoY

RSI pattern warning

RSI oversold bounces for this stock succeeded only 0% of the time (avg -7.7% over 14 days) — not a reliable pattern.

52-week position

Trading at 105.5% of 52-week high

52W low ₹7,858.552W high ₹10,834

Technicals

RSI 14

77.5

Trend

uptrend

50 DMA

Above

200 DMA

Above

Key metrics

P/E ratio

26.3

43th pct · 7 quarterly points (limited history)

P/B

7.3

ROE

28.1%

Strong profitability — 28.1% return on equity

Market cap

₹282.3k Cr

Revenue growth

3700.0% YoY

Promoter

60.0%

52-week range

₹7,858.5 – ₹10,834

105.5% of high

RSI (14)

77.5

uptrend

vs 50 DMA

Above

DMA ₹10,313.43

Fundamental

80/100

STRONG

Trust

95/100

Verification

Coverage

100/100

HIGH

Quick Take

Bajaj Auto scores 80/100 on fundamentals (strong). Bajaj Auto: PE above historical average. NARROW LEADERSHIP regime.

Fundamental Score: 80/100 · STRONG · 3 signals detected

DuPont Analysis

ROE 30.3% broken into three drivers. Each shows how efficiently the company generates returns.

ROE30.3%=
17.1%Net Margin
×
0.9xTurnover
×
2.0xLeverage

ROE of 30.28% is strong efficiency-driven and stable. Net margin 17.1%, asset turnover 0.89x, leverage 2.0x.

What This Means

Net margin of 17.1% means the company keeps ₹17.1 as profit for every ₹100 of revenue. This is a healthy margin. Asset turnover of 0.89x means the company efficiently uses its assets to generate revenue. Leverage of 2.0x means the company uses moderate debt. Returns are primarily driven by operations, not borrowing.

Margin Structure

Gross

31.0%

Operating

24.4%

Net

17.1%

declining

Gross margin 31.0% → operating margin 24.4% → net margin 17.1%. Margins are DECLINING. Check if input costs are rising or competition is pressuring pricing.

Financial Health

Earnings Quality

WEAK

Cash flow only covers 0.2x of net income — earnings quality is WEAK. Profit may not be converting to cash. Check receivables and inventory.

Debt Sustainability

COMFORTABLE

Interest covered 12.6x — very comfortable. Debt service is not a concern. Debt/EBITDA at 1.3x is low — balance sheet has capacity.

Free Cash Flow

STRONG

FCF margin at 2.7% — barely positive. Limited cash after capex.

Peer comparison

StockPrice5DP/EROERev growthMcap
EICHERMOT

Eicher Motors

₹7,830.5+2.5%37.523.8%1910%₹2.1L Cr
BOSCHLTD

Bosch Limited

₹41,550-1.6%44.619.4%1800%₹1.2L Cr
BHARATFORG

Bharat Forge

₹2,164.7-0.5%9411.6%1750%₹1.0L Cr
HEROMOTOCO

Hero MotoCorp

₹5,325+4.4%17.428%3020%₹100.0k Cr
ASHOKLEY

Ashok Leyland

₹158.09+4.9%27.821.6%1740%₹96.4k Cr
EXIDEIND

Exide Industries

₹452.7+2.9%41.26.2%920%₹35.2k Cr
ESCORTS

Escorts Kubota

₹3,013.6+3.7%2412%2140%₹32.8k Cr
ARE_AND_M

Amara Raja Energy & Mobility

₹906.85+4.1%17.211.6%1550%₹15.4k Cr
BAJAJ_AUTO

Bajaj Auto

₹11,432+1.3%26.328.1%3700%₹2.8L Cr

Key Watchpoints

🟢

Breaks above ₹12004 (+5%)

Trend reversal confirmation

🔴

Breaks below ₹10860 (-5%)

Further downside risk

🟡

PE reverts to median of 26.3 (7 quarterly points (limited history))

Valuation normalization

🟢

Auto sector entering leadership

Sector rotation signal

Detected Patterns

✅ Cash Flow Inflection: FCF turned positive after negative periods — major transition
➡️ Leverage Slowly Rising: Debt growing faster (145.1%) than equity (10.4%)
⚠️ Low Earnings Quality: Cash flow only 0.2x earnings — weak cash conversion

Risk Flags

🔴 3 Critical⚠️ 3 Warning4 Positive10 total flags
🔴Cash covers only 15% of current liabilities
Balance Sheet

Liquidity squeeze. Company may struggle to meet short-term obligations without refinancing.

🔴Operating cash flow significantly below net income
Cash Flow

OCF is only 0.2x net income. Profit not converting to cash — aggressive accounting possible.

🔴Overall governance risk: 9/10
Governance

Elevated risk score. Review audit, board, and shareholder rights metrics.

⚠️Non-core revenue is 12% of total
Earnings Quality

Significant income from non-operating sources. Core business may be smaller than it appears.

⚠️Working capital changes are 269% of operating cash flow
Cash Flow

Working capital is consuming significant cash. Operational efficiency declining.

⚠️Audit risk elevated: 10/10
Governance

Potential accounting concerns. Cross-check with earnings quality flags.

Minimal unusual items — clean earnings
Earnings Quality

Profits are from core operations, not one-offs. High quality.

Assets relatively new (32% depreciated)
Balance Sheet

Modern asset base. Lower near-term capex requirements.

Receivables decreasing — 13.2% of revenue
Cash Flow

Collection cycle changing. Collection improving — positive for cash flow.

High promoter holding: 61%
Governance

Strong insider alignment. Promoters have significant skin in the game.

🔴 3 CRITICAL flags — significant concerns. Investigate before investing.

Data Quality

95/100All ratios self-computed from verified sources. 🟢 5 years of financial data — sufficient for trend analysis

News Correlation

revenue growth (1)margin pressure (9)capex expansion (1)management outlook (4)
Our margin analysis (declining) matches news reports of cost/margin pressure

50 articles scanned for fundamental themes

Facts

P/E Ratio
26.3MODERATE
P/B Ratio
7.3HIGH
ROE
2805.0%HIGH
Market Cap
₹28232977.0L CrHIGH
From 52W High
106% of high
Promoter Holding
60.0%MODERATE
Institutional
17.7%
Sector Peers
10
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