auto

Ashok Leyland

ASHOKLEY · Nifty 50

159.57

Price 2026-06-17

BROAD EXPANSION73% confidence

At a Glance

Sector Positionauto sector. Flow: neutral. is not among current leaders. Regime: BROAD EXPANSION (73%).
Fundamental Score60/100 (ADEQUATE). 0 positive flags, 6 concerns.
Historical Context47 similar technical setups. Average outcome: -8.5% decline. 0% positive.

Fundamental

60/100

ADEQUATE

Trust

95/100

Verification

Coverage

44/100

LIMITED

Quick Take

Ashok Leyland scores 60/100 on fundamentals (adequate). Ashok Leyland: BROAD EXPANSION regime.

Fundamental Score: 60/100 · ADEQUATE · 2 signals detected

DuPont Analysis

ROE 24.4% broken into three drivers. Each shows how efficiently the company generates returns.

ROE24.4%=
6.2%Net Margin
×
0.6xTurnover
×
7.1xLeverage

ROE of 24.37% is strong leverage-driven and stable. Net margin of 6.2% × asset turnover of 0.56x × leverage of 7.1x. High leverage amplifies returns but increases risk.

What This Means

Net margin of 6.2% means the company keeps ₹6.2 as profit for every ₹100 of revenue. This is a moderate-margin business. Asset turnover of 0.56x means the company efficiently uses its assets to generate revenue. Leverage of 7.1x means the company uses significant debt. Higher leverage amplifies returns but also risk.

Margin Structure

Gross

39.6%

Operating

17.6%

Net

6.2%

improving

Gross margin 39.6% → operating margin 17.6% → net margin 6.2%. Margins are IMPROVING. Strong pricing power with stable gross margins suggests the improvement is from operating leverage — sustainable.

Financial Health

Earnings Quality

WEAK

Cash flow only covers -1.4x of net income — earnings quality is WEAK. Profit may not be converting to cash. Check receivables and inventory.

Debt Sustainability

ADEQUATE

Interest covered only 2.1x — stretched. Rising rates could pressure profitability. Debt/EBITDA at 5.8x is high — monitor leverage.

Free Cash Flow

MODERATE

FCF margin negative at -14.0% — spending more than earning. Check capex cycle.

Peer Comparison

Ashok Leyland is compared against 10 peers in the auto sector.

Key Watchpoints

🟢

Breaks above ₹168 (+5%)

Trend reversal confirmation

🔴

Breaks below ₹152 (-5%)

Further downside risk

🟢

Auto sector entering leadership

Sector rotation signal

Detected Patterns

➡️ Leverage Slowly Rising: Debt growing faster (28.0%) than equity (16.4%)
⚠️ Low Earnings Quality: Cash flow only -1.4x earnings — weak cash conversion

Risk Flags

🔴 3 Critical⚠️ 3 Warning6 total flags
🔴Unusual items are 47% of net income
Earnings Quality

One-off items significantly inflating reported profit. Core earnings may be much lower.

🔴Cash covers only 19% of current liabilities
Balance Sheet

Liquidity squeeze. Company may struggle to meet short-term obligations without refinancing.

🔴Operating cash flow significantly below net income
Cash Flow

OCF is only -1.4x net income. Profit not converting to cash — aggressive accounting possible.

⚠️Special charges present in income statement
Earnings Quality

Special charges of ₹1619K Cr. May indicate restructuring, impairment, or one-time costs.

⚠️Working capital changes are 227% of operating cash flow
Cash Flow

Working capital is consuming significant cash. Operational efficiency declining.

⚠️Overall governance risk: 8/10
Governance

Elevated risk score. Review audit, board, and shareholder rights metrics.

🔴 3 CRITICAL flags — significant concerns. Investigate before investing.

Data Quality

95/100All ratios self-computed from verified sources. 🟢 5 years of financial data — sufficient for trend analysis

News Correlation

margin pressure (4)management outlook (4)
⚠️ Our margin analysis (improving) contradicts news reports of margin pressure — investigate

50 articles scanned for fundamental themes

Facts

P/E Ratio
25.8UNAVAILABLE
P/B Ratio
5.8HIGH
Market Cap
₹8954690.9L CrHIGH
From 52W High
74% of high
Sector Peers
10