Regime transition in progress

Crypto intelligence

What the crypto market is doing

Regime and momentum reads for 15 tracked coins. BTC cycle and pattern match on Bitcoin. Engine-validated observations, not trade signals.

Engine-validatedRefreshes about every 5 minutesObservations onlyNot investment advice

Data as of 05 Jul 2026, 06:11 pm IST

Near-live observations, not a live trading feed.

Regime

Regime transition in progress

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative.

BTC 1H: Positive momentumBTC 4H: Positive momentumBTC 1D: Negative momentum

Market pulse

Tracked coins

15

BTC dominance

55.6%

ETH dominance

9.4%

Total mcap

$2.26T

24h volume

$54.2B

Fear & Greed

23 Extreme Fear

Extreme fear reading. Historically associated with elevated recovery periods.

Long/short positioning

Long 59.3% · Short 40.7%

Long/short positioning near balance.

Taker flow

Ratio 0.4484

Taker flow skewed toward sellers.

Daily read

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative.

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative. Bitcoin daily momentum negative with EMA gap -11.2%. Fear & Greed index at 23 (Extreme Fear). 53.3% of tracked coins positive over 24h (mixed breadth). Altcoin context: Balanced BTC vs alt performance. 100.0% of alts outpaced BTC over 7 days. 24h leader: Cardano (+5.1%).

Regime

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative.

BTC vs alts

Based on 7-day returns vs Bitcoin. Context only, not a timing signal.

Market breadth

Mixed breadth

  • Sentiment extreme:Extreme fear reading. Historically associated with elevated recovery periods.
  • Regime shift:Short and long timeframes diverging
  • Altcoin rotation:Multiple alts outpacing Bitcoin over 7 days

Daily editorial

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative.

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative. Bitcoin daily momentum negative with EMA gap -11.2%. Fear & Greed index at 23 (Extreme Fear). 53.3% of tracked coins positive over 24h (mixed breadth). Altcoin context: Balanced BTC vs alt performance. 100.0% of alts outpaced BTC over 7 days. 24h leader: Cardano (+5.1%).

Bitcoin cycle: Mid-cycle. Cycle pillars are mixed. Price sits between historical cycle extremes on most measures.

Market breadth: 53.3% of tracked coins positive over 24h. Mixed breadth.

Sentiment index at 23 (Extreme Fear).

Published 05 Jul 2026, 06:11 PM IST

Market breadth

Share of tracked coins positive on the day

53.3%

Mixed breadth

8 of 15 coins up 24h

Altcoin context

7-day performance vs Bitcoin

Balanced BTC vs alt performance

Based on 7-day returns vs Bitcoin. Context only, not a timing signal.

BTC dominance 55.6%

Volatility

Bitcoin ATR context

Moderate volatility

ATR 3.17% of price

24h movers

Bitcoin cycle position

Five-pillar framework calibrated on historical BTC data. Observations only.

Cycle pillars are mixed. Price sits between historical cycle extremes on most measures.

Mid-cycleConviction: MODERATEBTC $63,865

Trend Structure

EMA gap -11.2% · negative momentum

Price Exhaustion

RSI14 41.3 · Bollinger position 44%

Cycle Depth

Drawdown -49.4% from 1y high · vs 200MA -17.1%

On-Chain MVRV

MVRV 1.132

Funding Positioning

5d avg funding +4.3% APR

Full Bitcoin analysis →

Days like today

Found 139 prior days with similar EMA, volatility, and drawdown profile. Average 30-day forward return was +7.2%. Short-term (7-day) average was -0.2%. 68.3% of matches were positive at 30 days. Past pattern only. Not a forecast.

7d avg

-0.2%

14d avg

+1.6%

30d avg

+7.2%

60d avg

+4.2%

139 historical matches · 68.3% positive at 30d

All tracked coins

15 assets with live data. Tap any row for detail.

#AssetPrice24h7d30dMcapMomentum
1BitcoinBTCDeep

Cycle framework, regime, pattern match

$63,865+0.5%+0.5%-17.6%$1.26TNegative momentum
2EthereumETHDeep

ETH/BTC rotation and momentum

$1,729+1.1%+3.8%-18.7%$212.9BNegative momentum
4BNBBNB

Exchange token with broad market footprint

$583.14+1.8%+5.2%-1.1%$78.6BPositive momentum
6XRPXRP

Payments rail with high liquidity

$1.13-1.0%+8.3%+1.2%$70.6BMixed
7SolanaSOLDeep

Momentum and volatility context

$71.38+2.4%+3.6%-18.1%$47.0BNegative momentum
11DogecoinDOGE

Retail sentiment and volume proxy

$0.08-0.8%+3.5%-9.8%$11.8BMixed
16CardanoADA

Layer-1 with steady developer activity

$0.19+5.1%+28.8%+14.9%$7.0BPositive momentum
20ChainlinkLINK

Oracle network tied to DeFi flows

$7.92-0.1%+8.8%+4.7%$5.9BMixed
28LitecoinLTC

Legacy payments coin benchmark

$44.88+0.9%+4.8%+1.5%$3.5BPositive momentum
33AvalancheAVAX

Subnet ecosystem and DeFi activity

$6.88+0.3%+8.5%-3.0%$3.0BPositive momentum
36NEAR ProtocolNEAR

Sharding L1 with developer growth

$1.96-0.5%+5.9%-2.8%$2.6BMixed
42UniswapUNI

DEX activity and DeFi sentiment

$3.13-2.1%+7.0%+24.1%$1.9BPositive momentum
51PolkadotDOT

Interoperability and parachain activity

$0.87+0.0%+8.3%-12.5%$1.5BPositive momentum
82PolygonPOL

Ethereum scaling and L2 adoption

$0.07-0.8%+2.0%-7.2%$779.4MNeutral
105ArbitrumARB

Leading Ethereum L2 rollup

$0.08-0.8%+6.7%-5.4%$502.2MMixed

7d leaders

    7d laggards

      Data reliability HIGH · 240% fields validated · BTC $63,865