Regime transition in progress

Crypto intelligence

What the crypto market is doing

Regime and momentum reads for 15 tracked coins. BTC cycle and pattern match on Bitcoin. Engine-validated observations, not trade signals.

Engine-validatedRefreshes about every 5 minutesObservations onlyNot investment advice

Data as of 19 Aug 2026, 09:09 pm IST

Near-live observations, not a live trading feed.

Regime

Regime transition in progress

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative.

BTC 1H: Positive momentumBTC 4H: Positive momentumBTC 1D: Negative momentum

Market pulse

Tracked coins

19

BTC dominance

56.9%

ETH dominance

10.4%

Total mcap

$2.38T

24h volume

$58.0B

Fear & Greed

46 Fear

Neutral sentiment. No extreme positioning signal.

Long/short positioning

Long 57.2% · Short 42.8%

Long/short positioning near balance.

Taker flow

Ratio 1.2873

Taker flow skewed toward buyers.

Daily read

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative.

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative. Bitcoin daily momentum negative with EMA gap -9.9%. Fear & Greed index at 46 (Fear). 78.9% of tracked coins positive over 24h (broad positive participation). Altcoin context: Balanced BTC vs alt performance. 21.1% of alts outpaced BTC over 7 days. 24h leader: Polkadot (+5.0%).

Regime

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative.

BTC vs alts

Based on 7-day returns vs Bitcoin. Context only, not a timing signal.

Market breadth

Broad positive participation

  • Regime shift:Short and long timeframes diverging

Daily editorial

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative.

Short-term momentum improving while daily trend remains negative. Bitcoin daily momentum negative with EMA gap -9.9%. Fear & Greed index at 46 (Fear). 78.9% of tracked coins positive over 24h (broad positive participation). Altcoin context: Balanced BTC vs alt performance. 21.1% of alts outpaced BTC over 7 days. 24h leader: Polkadot (+5.0%).

Bitcoin cycle: Mid-cycle. Cycle pillars are mixed. Price sits between historical cycle extremes on most measures.

Market breadth: 78.9% of tracked coins positive over 24h. Broad positive participation.

Sentiment index at 46 (Fear).

Published 19 Aug 2026, 09:09 PM IST

Full crypto brief →

Market breadth

Share of tracked coins positive on the day

78.9%

Broad positive participation

15 of 19 coins up 24h

Altcoin context

7-day performance vs Bitcoin

Balanced BTC vs alt performance

Based on 7-day returns vs Bitcoin. Context only, not a timing signal.

BTC dominance 56.9%

Volatility

Bitcoin ATR context

Moderate volatility

ATR 3.43% of price

24h movers

Cycle Convergence Framework (CCF)

Five-pillar Bitcoin cycle zones. Calibrated on historical BTC extremes since 2015.

Cycle pillars are mixed. Price sits between historical cycle extremes on most measures.

Mid-cycleConviction: MODERATEBTC $63,335

Trend Structure

EMA gap -9.9% · negative momentum

Price Exhaustion

RSI14 59.2 · Bollinger position 70%

Cycle Depth

Drawdown -49.8% from 1y high · vs 200MA -15.0%

On-Chain MVRV

MVRV 1.132

Funding Positioning

5d avg funding +4.3% APR

Days like today

MODERATE · 51

Found 40 prior days with a similar EMA, volatility, RSI, and drawdown profile. 50% of matches were lower at 21 days. Average 30-day forward return was +1.7%. 30-day range across matches: -14.6% to +29.2% (median -0.2%). Average max extension before later outcomes was +9.8%. Pattern confidence: MODERATE (50/100). Past pattern only. Not a forecast.

Lower at 21d

50%

Median 30d

-0.2%

Avg extension

+9.8%

Matches

40

40 historical matches; avg extension risk +9.8%; 50% lower at 21d; outcomes dispersed; history lag

Thematic clusters

Layer 1, DeFi, and other group performance from tracked coins.

All tracked coins

19 assets shown. Tap any row for detail.

#AssetPrice24h7d30dMcapMomentum
1BitcoinBTCDeepIndia

Cycle framework, regime, pattern match

$63,335-1.1%+8.1%+0.1%$1.37TNegative momentum
2EthereumETHDeepIndia

ETH/BTC rotation, cycle-lite, pattern match

$1,771-1.6%+12.7%+5.0%$250.2BNegative momentum
4BNBBNB

Exchange token with broad market footprint

$617.79+1.3%-0.6%+7.4%$82.3BNeutral
6XRPXRP

Payments rail with high liquidity

$1.06+3.5%+1.8%-5.3%$66.6BPositive momentum
7SolanaSOLDeepIndia

Momentum, pattern match, volatility context

$80.54-1.7%+9.4%+21.5%$47.8BNegative momentum
8TRONTRX

High-throughput payments chain

$0.3333+0.1%-1.0%+2.2%$31.6BNeutral
10HyperliquidHYPE

On-chain perps and DeFi infrastructure

$60.06+1.0%+7.0%-1.6%$13.4BPositive momentum
11DogecoinDOGEIndia

Retail sentiment and volume proxy

$0.0732+2.0%+1.0%-1.1%$11.4BPositive momentum
17ChainlinkLINK

Oracle network tied to DeFi flows

$9.89+3.8%+10.9%+17.0%$7.4BPositive momentum
19CardanoADA

Layer-1 with steady developer activity

$0.1813+1.1%-3.7%+8.5%$6.8BMixed
25ToncoinTON

Telegram-linked L1 with retail reach

$1.35+2.1%-0.9%-6.8%$3.7BMixed
27LitecoinLTC

Legacy payments coin benchmark

$45.83+2.0%-0.5%-2.8%$3.6BMixed
31AvalancheAVAX

Subnet ecosystem and DeFi activity

$6.63+0.9%+0.5%-2.2%$2.9BNeutral
32SuiSUI

Move-based L1 with fast finality

$0.6954+2.8%-2.9%-10.7%$2.8BMixed
37Shiba InuData unavailable
39NEAR ProtocolNEAR

Sharding L1 with developer growth

$1.68+1.2%-0.2%-16.6%$2.2BNeutral
40UniswapUNI

DEX activity and DeFi sentiment

$3.47+4.3%-3.4%-1.8%$2.2BMixed
57PolkadotDOT

Interoperability and parachain activity

$0.7869+5.0%-1.9%-4.4%$1.3BMixed
73PolygonPOL

Ethereum scaling and L2 adoption

$0.0820-0.1%+9.5%+1.4%$877.8MMixed
95ArbitrumARB

Leading Ethereum L2 rollup

$0.0801+4.2%-0.5%-11.3%$535.5MMixed

Data reliability HIGH · 9/10 hub fields (90% coverage) · 19/20 assets · BTC $63,335

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