Validation

Crypto calibration

Forward outcome context for cycle zones and technical twin setups. Historical patterns only.

Similar technical twin days

Days when BTC EMA gap, ATR, drawdown, and volume matched today's profile.

Sample count

139

Avg 30d forward

+7.2%

Positive at 30d

68.3%

Mid-cycle (mixed pillars)

Cycle pillars are mixed. Price sits between historical cycle extremes on most measures.

Conviction

MODERATE

Historical pattern statistics. Not forecasts or investment advice.