power

NTPC Limited

NTPC · Nifty 50

355.55

Price 2026-06-17

BROAD EXPANSION73% confidence

At a Glance

ValuationPE 11.6 (44%ile of 5Y range 9-15). Trading near median.
Sector Positionpower sector. Flow: neutral. is not among current leaders. Regime: BROAD EXPANSION (73%).
Fundamental Score90/100 (STRONG). 1 positive flags, 2 concerns.
Historical Context147 similar technical setups. Average outcome: -7.2% decline. 0% positive.
Revenue TrendRevenue growing at 8.0% YoY. Moderate revenue growth — 8.0% YoY

Fundamental

90/100

STRONG

Trust

95/100

Verification

Coverage

89/100

HIGH

Quick Take

NTPC Limited scores 90/100 on fundamentals (strong). NTPC Limited: PE above historical average. BROAD EXPANSION regime.

Fundamental Score: 90/100 · STRONG · 1 signals detected

DuPont Analysis

ROE 14.6% broken into three drivers. Each shows how efficiently the company generates returns.

ROE14.6%=
15.4%Net Margin
×
0.3xTurnover
×
2.7xLeverage

ROE of 14.57% is moderate margin-driven and stable. Net margin of 15.4% × asset turnover of 0.34x × leverage of 2.7x.

What This Means

Net margin of 15.4% means the company keeps ₹15.4 as profit for every ₹100 of revenue. This is a healthy margin. Asset turnover of 0.34x means the company generates ₹0.34 of revenue for every ₹1 of assets. This is a capital-heavy business. Leverage of 2.7x means the company uses moderate debt. Returns are primarily driven by operations, not borrowing.

Margin Structure

Gross

47.9%

Operating

22.8%

Net

15.4%

improving

Gross margin 47.9% → operating margin 22.8% → net margin 15.4%. Margins are IMPROVING. Strong pricing power with stable gross margins suggests the improvement is from operating leverage — sustainable.

Financial Health

Earnings Quality

STRONG

Cash flow covers net income 1.7x — earnings are HIGH QUALITY. The company converts profit to cash efficiently.

Debt Sustainability

ADEQUATE

Interest covered 3.1x — adequate buffer. Debt is manageable. Debt/EBITDA at 4.3x is high — monitor leverage.

Free Cash Flow

MODERATE

FCF margin at 3.6% — moderate. Generating cash after investments.

Peer Comparison

NTPC Limited is compared against 8 peers in the power sector.

Key Watchpoints

🟢

Breaks above ₹373 (+5%)

Trend reversal confirmation

🔴

Breaks below ₹338 (-5%)

Further downside risk

🟡

PE reverts to 5Y median of 11.6

Valuation normalization

🟢

Power sector entering leadership

Sector rotation signal

Detected Patterns

✅ High Earnings Quality: Cash flow covers earnings 1.7x — strong cash conversion

Risk Flags

🔴 1 Critical⚠️ 1 Warning1 Positive3 total flags
🔴Cash covers only 3% of current liabilities
Balance Sheet

Liquidity squeeze. Company may struggle to meet short-term obligations without refinancing.

⚠️Board risk elevated: 8/10
Governance

Governance structure concerns. Independent director representation may be weak.

Strong analyst consensus: strong_buy (28 analysts)
Valuation

Mean recommendation: 1.4/5 (1=Strong Buy, 5=Strong Sell). Institutional confidence is high.

⚠️ 1 critical + 1 warning flags. Exercise caution.

Data Quality

95/100All ratios self-computed from verified sources. 🟢 5 years of financial data — sufficient for trend analysis

News Correlation

margin pressure (4)management outlook (4)
⚠️ Our margin analysis (improving) contradicts news reports of margin pressure — investigate

50 articles scanned for fundamental themes

Facts

P/E Ratio
11.6HIGH
P/B Ratio
1.7HIGH
ROE
13.7%HIGH
Market Cap
₹34316503.0L CrHIGH
From 52W High
86% of high
Promoter Holding
53.5%MODERATE
Institutional
38.7%
Sector Peers
8
NTPC Limited Stock Analysis, Valuation, Fundamentals & Intelligence | FynSight