STRONG 85/100

power · NTPC

NTPC Limited

NTPC Limited: PE below historical average. NARROW LEADERSHIP regime.

Price

₹344.85

Price 2026-07-30

5 day

-0.68%

Short-term move

1 month

-3.31%

Medium-term

Regime

NARROW LEADERSHIP

62% confidence

Market cap

₹343.5k Cr

neutral sector flow

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How does today's NARROW LEADERSHIP regime affect NTPC Limited (NTPC) in the power sector?

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Price chart

344

+5.35% over period

2025-06-30310 – ₹4092026-07-28

About NTPC Limited

Nifty 50power

NTPC Limited operates as an integrated power company in India and Mauritius. It operates through two segments: Generation and Others. The company generates power from fossil fuels, hydro, solar, wind, nuclear, and renewable energy sources. It also engages in the coal mining and energy trading business. NTPC Limited was incorporated in 1975 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Utilities - Regulated ElectricNew Delhi, IndiaWebsite →

At a Glance

ValuationPE 11.6 (29%ile of 7 quarterly points (limited history), range 9-15). Trading below historical range.
Sector Positionpower sector. Flow: neutral. is not among current leaders. Regime: NARROW LEADERSHIP (62%).
Fundamental Score85/100 (STRONG). 1 positive flags, 2 concerns.
Historical ContextRSI oversold bounces for this stock succeeded only 0% of the time (avg -7.1% over 14 days) — not a reliable pattern.
Revenue TrendRevenue growing at 800.0% YoY. Strong revenue growth — 800.0% YoY

RSI pattern warning

RSI oversold bounces for this stock succeeded only 0% of the time (avg -7.1% over 14 days) — not a reliable pattern.

52-week position

Trading at 83.2% of 52-week high

52W low ₹315.5552W high ₹414.4

Technicals

RSI 14

50.4

Trend

downtrend

50 DMA

Below

200 DMA

Below

Key metrics

P/E ratio

11.6

29th pct · 7 quarterly points (limited history)

P/B

1.7

ROE

13.7%

Moderate profitability — 13.7% ROE

Market cap

₹343.5k Cr

Revenue growth

800.0% YoY

Promoter

53.5%

52-week range

₹315.55 – ₹414.4

83.2% of high

RSI (14)

50.4

downtrend

vs 50 DMA

Below

DMA ₹358.37

Fundamental

85/100

STRONG

Trust

95/100

Verification

Coverage

100/100

HIGH

Quick Take

NTPC Limited scores 85/100 on fundamentals (strong). NTPC Limited: PE below historical average. NARROW LEADERSHIP regime.

Fundamental Score: 85/100 · STRONG · 1 signals detected

DuPont Analysis

ROE 14.1% broken into three drivers. Each shows how efficiently the company generates returns.

ROE14.1%=
14.8%Net Margin
×
0.3xTurnover
×
2.7xLeverage

ROE of 14.13% is moderate margin-driven and stable. Net margin 14.8%, asset turnover 0.35x, leverage 2.7x.

What This Means

Net margin of 14.8% means the company keeps ₹14.8 as profit for every ₹100 of revenue. This is a healthy margin. Asset turnover of 0.35x means the company generates ₹0.35 of revenue for every ₹1 of assets. This is a capital-heavy business. Leverage of 2.7x means the company uses moderate debt. Returns are primarily driven by operations, not borrowing.

Margin Structure

Gross

47.9%

Operating

22.7%

Net

14.8%

declining

Gross margin 47.9% → operating margin 22.7% → net margin 14.8%. Margins are DECLINING. Check if input costs are rising or competition is pressuring pricing.

Financial Health

Earnings Quality

STRONG

Cash flow covers net income 1.8x — earnings are HIGH QUALITY. The company converts profit to cash efficiently.

Debt Sustainability

ADEQUATE

Interest covered 3.2x — adequate buffer. Debt is manageable. Debt/EBITDA at 4.2x is high — monitor leverage.

Free Cash Flow

MODERATE

FCF margin at 3.5% — moderate. Generating cash after investments.

Peer comparison

StockPrice5DP/EROERev growthMcap
ADANIPOWER

Adani Power

₹208.97-1.5%32.920.9%-10%₹4.2L Cr
POWERGRID

Power Grid Corporation

₹285.7-1.4%14.116.5%-500%₹2.6L Cr
TATAPOWER

Tata Power

₹375.95-0.1%32.211.3%-1280%₹1.2L Cr
JSWENERGY

JSW Energy

₹543.7-2.5%42.78.8%4100%₹99.7k Cr
NHPC

NHPC

₹78.07-2.7%28.59%1920%₹79.2k Cr
TORNTPOWER

Torrent Power

₹1,423.5-0.5%29.213%-80%₹70.5k Cr
CESC

CESC Limited

₹164.93+1.4%14.312.6%560%₹22.1k Cr
RPOWER

Reliance Power

₹23.33-0.5%N/A-2.1%-460%₹10.3k Cr
NTPC

NTPC Limited

₹344.85-1.1%11.613.7%800%₹3.4L Cr

Tensions to watch

PE in bottom 29% historically — undervaluation or fundamental deterioration?

Low PE can signal value OR declining growth expectations. Check recent earnings and sector outlook.

Promoter holding at 53.5% — neither distress selling nor aggressive buying

No strong insider signal. Watch for changes in promoter stake as a leading indicator.

Key Watchpoints

🟢

Breaks above ₹362 (+5%)

Trend reversal confirmation

🔴

Breaks below ₹328 (-5%)

Further downside risk

🟡

PE reverts to median of 11.7 (7 quarterly points (limited history))

Valuation normalization

🟢

Power sector entering leadership

Sector rotation signal

Detected Patterns

✅ High Earnings Quality: Cash flow covers earnings 1.8x — strong cash conversion

Risk Flags

🔴 1 Critical⚠️ 1 Warning1 Positive3 total flags
🔴Cash covers only 3% of current liabilities
Balance Sheet

Liquidity squeeze. Company may struggle to meet short-term obligations without refinancing.

⚠️Board risk elevated: 8/10
Governance

Governance structure concerns. Independent director representation may be weak.

Strong analyst consensus: strong_buy (28 analysts)
Valuation

Mean recommendation: 1.3/5 (1=Strong Buy, 5=Strong Sell). Institutional confidence is high.

⚠️ 1 critical + 1 warning flags. Exercise caution.

Data Quality

95/100All ratios self-computed from verified sources. 🟢 5 years of financial data — sufficient for trend analysis

News Correlation

revenue growth (1)margin pressure (9)capex expansion (1)management outlook (4)
Our margin analysis (declining) matches news reports of cost/margin pressure

50 articles scanned for fundamental themes

Facts

P/E Ratio
11.6MODERATE
P/B Ratio
1.7HIGH
ROE
1369.0%HIGH
Market Cap
₹34345593.1L CrHIGH
From 52W High
83% of high
Promoter Holding
53.5%MODERATE
Institutional
39.0%
Sector Peers
8
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