fmcg

Godfrey Phillips

GODFRYPHLP · Nifty 50

2,249

Price 2026-06-17

BROAD EXPANSION73% confidence

At a Glance

Sector Positionfmcg sector. Flow: neutral. is not among current leaders. Regime: BROAD EXPANSION (73%).
Fundamental Score85/100 (STRONG). 3 positive flags, 3 concerns.
Historical Context46 similar technical setups. Average outcome: -11.2% decline. 0% positive.

Fundamental

85/100

STRONG

Trust

95/100

Verification

Coverage

44/100

LIMITED

Quick Take

Godfrey Phillips scores 85/100 on fundamentals (strong). Godfrey Phillips: BROAD EXPANSION regime.

Fundamental Score: 85/100 · STRONG · 3 signals detected

DuPont Analysis

ROE 24.1% broken into three drivers. Each shows how efficiently the company generates returns.

ROE24.1%=
22.6%Net Margin
×
0.8xTurnover
×
1.3xLeverage

ROE of 24.15% is strong margin-driven and stable. Net margin of 22.6% × asset turnover of 0.8x × leverage of 1.3x.

What This Means

Net margin of 22.6% means the company keeps ₹22.6 as profit for every ₹100 of revenue. This is a healthy margin. Asset turnover of 0.80x means the company efficiently uses its assets to generate revenue. Leverage of 1.3x means the company uses moderate debt. Returns are primarily driven by operations, not borrowing.

Margin Structure

Gross

42.9%

Operating

29.3%

Net

22.6%

improving

Gross margin 42.9% → operating margin 29.3% → net margin 22.6%. Margins are IMPROVING. Strong pricing power with stable gross margins suggests the improvement is from operating leverage — sustainable.

Financial Health

Earnings Quality

WEAK

Cash flow only covers 0.3x of net income — earnings quality is WEAK. Profit may not be converting to cash. Check receivables and inventory.

Debt Sustainability

COMFORTABLE

Interest covered 153.7x — very comfortable. Debt service is not a concern. Debt/EBITDA at 0.1x is low — balance sheet has capacity.

Free Cash Flow

STRONG

FCF margin at 3.1% — moderate. Generating cash after investments.

Peer Comparison

Godfrey Phillips is compared against 10 peers in the fmcg sector.

Key Watchpoints

🟢

Breaks above ₹2361 (+5%)

Trend reversal confirmation

🔴

Breaks below ₹2137 (-5%)

Further downside risk

🟢

Fmcg sector entering leadership

Sector rotation signal

Detected Patterns

✅ Cash Flow Inflection: FCF turned positive after negative periods — major transition
➡️ Leverage Slowly Rising: Debt growing faster (31.7%) than equity (18.4%)
⚠️ Low Earnings Quality: Cash flow only 0.3x earnings — weak cash conversion

Risk Flags

🔴 2 Critical⚠️ 1 Warning3 Positive6 total flags
🔴Cash covers only 0% of current liabilities
Balance Sheet

Liquidity squeeze. Company may struggle to meet short-term obligations without refinancing.

🔴Operating cash flow significantly below net income
Cash Flow

OCF is only 0.3x net income. Profit not converting to cash — aggressive accounting possible.

⚠️Working capital changes are 149% of operating cash flow
Cash Flow

Working capital is consuming significant cash. Operational efficiency declining.

Receivables decreasing — 7.5% of revenue
Cash Flow

Collection cycle changing. Collection improving — positive for cash flow.

High promoter holding: 74%
Governance

Strong insider alignment. Promoters have significant skin in the game.

PEG ratio: 0.3x — attractive growth-adjusted valuation
Valuation

Growth available at reasonable price. Favourable risk-reward.

🔴 2 CRITICAL flags — significant concerns. Investigate before investing.

Data Quality

95/100All ratios self-computed from verified sources. 🟢 5 years of financial data — sufficient for trend analysis

News Correlation

margin pressure (4)management outlook (4)
⚠️ Our margin analysis (improving) contradicts news reports of margin pressure — investigate

50 articles scanned for fundamental themes

Facts

P/E Ratio
23.5UNAVAILABLE
P/B Ratio
5.8HIGH
Market Cap
₹3589140.3L CrHIGH
From 52W High
57% of high
Sector Peers
10
Godfrey Phillips Stock Analysis, Valuation, Fundamentals & Intelligence | FynSight