retail

Avenue Supermarts

DMART · Nifty 50

4,287.5

Price 2026-06-17

BROAD EXPANSION73% confidence

At a Glance

ValuationPE 87.7 (33%ile of 5Y range 72-121). Trading near median.
Sector Positionretail sector. Flow: neutral. is not among current leaders. Regime: BROAD EXPANSION (73%).
Fundamental Score80/100 (STRONG). 1 positive flags, 1 concerns.
Historical Context156 similar technical setups. Average outcome: -7.8% decline. 0% positive.
Revenue TrendRevenue growing at 18.9% YoY. Strong revenue growth — 18.9% YoY

Fundamental

80/100

STRONG

Trust

95/100

Verification

Coverage

89/100

HIGH

Quick Take

Avenue Supermarts scores 80/100 on fundamentals (strong). Avenue Supermarts: PE above historical average. BROAD EXPANSION regime.

Fundamental Score: 80/100 · STRONG · 1 signals detected

DuPont Analysis

ROE 11.6% broken into three drivers. Each shows how efficiently the company generates returns.

ROE11.6%=
4.2%Net Margin
×
2.3xTurnover
×
1.2xLeverage

ROE of 11.59% is moderate efficiency-driven and stable. Net margin of 4.2% × asset turnover of 2.27x × leverage of 1.2x.

What This Means

Net margin of 4.2% means the company keeps ₹4.2 as profit for every ₹100 of revenue. This is a low-margin business. Asset turnover of 2.27x means the company efficiently uses its assets to generate revenue. Leverage of 1.2x means the company uses moderate debt. Returns are primarily driven by operations, not borrowing.

Margin Structure

Gross

14.8%

Operating

5.9%

Net

4.2%

declining

Gross margin 14.8% → operating margin 5.9% → net margin 4.2%. Margins are DECLINING. Check if input costs are rising or competition is pressuring pricing.

Financial Health

Earnings Quality

ADEQUATE

Cash flow covers net income 1.2x — earnings are ADEQUATE quality. Cash conversion is reasonable.

Debt Sustainability

COMFORTABLE

Interest covered 31.6x — very comfortable. Debt service is not a concern. Debt/EBITDA at 0.5x is low — balance sheet has capacity.

Free Cash Flow

STRONG

FCF margin negative at -1.0% — spending more than earning. Check capex cycle.

Peer Comparison

Avenue Supermarts is compared against 3 peers in the retail sector.

Key Watchpoints

🟢

Breaks above ₹4502 (+5%)

Trend reversal confirmation

🔴

Breaks below ₹4073 (-5%)

Further downside risk

🟡

PE reverts to 5Y median of 87.7

Valuation normalization

🟢

Retail sector entering leadership

Sector rotation signal

Detected Patterns

➡️ Leverage Slowly Rising: Debt growing faster (195.8%) than equity (14.2%)

Risk Flags

🔴 1 Critical1 Positive2 total flags
🔴Cash covers only 8% of current liabilities
Balance Sheet

Liquidity squeeze. Company may struggle to meet short-term obligations without refinancing.

High promoter holding: 79%
Governance

Strong insider alignment. Promoters have significant skin in the game.

⚠️ 1 critical + 0 warning flags. Exercise caution.

Data Quality

95/100All ratios self-computed from verified sources. 🟢 5 years of financial data — sufficient for trend analysis

News Correlation

margin pressure (4)management outlook (4)
Our margin analysis (declining) matches news reports of cost/margin pressure

50 articles scanned for fundamental themes

Facts

P/E Ratio
87.7HIGH
P/B Ratio
10.6HIGH
ROE
12.9%HIGH
Market Cap
₹26047464.1L CrHIGH
From 52W High
87% of high
Promoter Holding
79.0%MODERATE
Institutional
13.2%
Sector Peers
3
Avenue Supermarts Stock Analysis, Valuation, Fundamentals & Intelligence | FynSight