mining

Coal India

COALINDIA · Nifty 50

455.75

Price 2026-06-17

BROAD EXPANSION73% confidence

At a Glance

ValuationPE 8.8 (56%ile of 5Y range 6-9). Trading near median.
Sector Positionmining sector. Flow: neutral. is not among current leaders. Regime: BROAD EXPANSION (73%).
Fundamental Score80/100 (STRONG). 2 positive flags, 4 concerns.
Historical Context186 similar technical setups. Average outcome: -7.4% decline. 0% positive.
Revenue TrendRevenue growing at 16.2% YoY. Strong revenue growth — 16.2% YoY

Fundamental

80/100

STRONG

Trust

95/100

Verification

Coverage

89/100

HIGH

Quick Take

Coal India scores 80/100 on fundamentals (strong). Coal India: PE above historical average. BROAD EXPANSION regime.

Fundamental Score: 80/100 · STRONG · 1 signals detected

DuPont Analysis

ROE 30.6% broken into three drivers. Each shows how efficiently the company generates returns.

ROE30.6%=
23.8%Net Margin
×
0.5xTurnover
×
2.4xLeverage

ROE of 30.64% is strong margin-driven and stable. Net margin of 23.8% × asset turnover of 0.54x × leverage of 2.4x.

What This Means

Net margin of 23.8% means the company keeps ₹23.8 as profit for every ₹100 of revenue. This is a healthy margin. Asset turnover of 0.54x means the company efficiently uses its assets to generate revenue. Leverage of 2.4x means the company uses moderate debt. Returns are primarily driven by operations, not borrowing.

Margin Structure

Gross

90.0%

Operating

32.7%

Net

23.8%

stable

Gross margin 90.0% → operating margin 32.7% → net margin 23.8%. Margins are stable.

Financial Health

Earnings Quality

ADEQUATE

Cash flow covers net income 1.2x — earnings are ADEQUATE quality. Cash conversion is reasonable.

Debt Sustainability

COMFORTABLE

Interest covered 42.8x — very comfortable. Debt service is not a concern. Debt/EBITDA at 0.3x is low — balance sheet has capacity.

Free Cash Flow

STRONG

FCF margin at 20.1% — strong cash generation. Business is self-funding.

Key Watchpoints

🟢

Breaks above ₹479 (+5%)

Trend reversal confirmation

🔴

Breaks below ₹433 (-5%)

Further downside risk

🟡

PE reverts to 5Y median of 8.5

Valuation normalization

🟢

Mining sector entering leadership

Sector rotation signal

Detected Patterns

➡️ Leverage Slowly Rising: Debt growing faster (53.9%) than equity (20.2%)

Risk Flags

🔴 2 Critical⚠️ 2 Warning2 Positive6 total flags
🔴Cash covers only 13% of current liabilities
Balance Sheet

Liquidity squeeze. Company may struggle to meet short-term obligations without refinancing.

🔴Overall governance risk: 10/10
Governance

Elevated risk score. Review audit, board, and shareholder rights metrics.

⚠️Audit risk elevated: 9/10
Governance

Potential accounting concerns. Cross-check with earnings quality flags.

⚠️Board risk elevated: 10/10
Governance

Governance structure concerns. Independent director representation may be weak.

High promoter holding: 61%
Governance

Strong insider alignment. Promoters have significant skin in the game.

PEG ratio: 0.9x — attractive growth-adjusted valuation
Valuation

Growth available at reasonable price. Favourable risk-reward.

🔴 2 CRITICAL flags — significant concerns. Investigate before investing.

Data Quality

95/100All ratios self-computed from verified sources. 🟢 5 years of financial data — sufficient for trend analysis

News Correlation

margin pressure (4)management outlook (4)

50 articles scanned for fundamental themes

Facts

P/E Ratio
8.8HIGH
P/B Ratio
2.3HIGH
ROE
28.1%HIGH
Market Cap
₹27331699.7L CrHIGH
From 52W High
93% of high
Promoter Holding
61.1%MODERATE
Institutional
26.0%
Coal India Stock Analysis, Valuation, Fundamentals & Intelligence | FynSight