chemicals

Chambal Fertilisers

CHAMBLFERT · Nifty 50

485.1

Price 2026-06-17

BROAD EXPANSION73% confidence

At a Glance

Sector Positionchemicals sector. Flow: neutral. is not among current leaders. Regime: BROAD EXPANSION (73%).
Fundamental Score65/100 (ADEQUATE). 3 positive flags, 4 concerns.
Historical Context45 similar technical setups. Average outcome: -7.7% decline. 0% positive.

Fundamental

65/100

ADEQUATE

Trust

95/100

Verification

Coverage

44/100

LIMITED

Quick Take

Chambal Fertilisers scores 65/100 on fundamentals (adequate). Chambal Fertilisers: BROAD EXPANSION regime.

Fundamental Score: 65/100 · ADEQUATE · 2 signals detected

DuPont Analysis

ROE 13.8% broken into three drivers. Each shows how efficiently the company generates returns.

ROE13.8%=
8.5%Net Margin
×
1.2xTurnover
×
1.4xLeverage

ROE of 13.79% is moderate efficiency-driven and stable. Net margin of 8.5% × asset turnover of 1.17x × leverage of 1.4x.

What This Means

Net margin of 8.5% means the company keeps ₹8.5 as profit for every ₹100 of revenue. This is a moderate-margin business. Asset turnover of 1.17x means the company efficiently uses its assets to generate revenue. Leverage of 1.4x means the company uses moderate debt. Returns are primarily driven by operations, not borrowing.

Margin Structure

Gross

39.6%

Operating

11.3%

Net

8.5%

declining

Gross margin 39.6% → operating margin 11.3% → net margin 8.5%. Margins are DECLINING. Check if input costs are rising or competition is pressuring pricing.

Financial Health

Earnings Quality

WEAK

Cash flow only covers 0.1x of net income — earnings quality is WEAK. Profit may not be converting to cash. Check receivables and inventory.

Debt Sustainability

COMFORTABLE

Interest covered 322.7x — very comfortable. Debt service is not a concern. Debt/EBITDA at 0.5x is low — balance sheet has capacity.

Free Cash Flow

MODERATE

FCF margin negative at -4.5% — spending more than earning. Check capex cycle.

Peer Comparison

Chambal Fertilisers is compared against 10 peers in the chemicals sector.

Key Watchpoints

🟢

Breaks above ₹509 (+5%)

Trend reversal confirmation

🔴

Breaks below ₹461 (-5%)

Further downside risk

🟢

Chemicals sector entering leadership

Sector rotation signal

Detected Patterns

➡️ Leverage Slowly Rising: Debt growing faster (980.9%) than equity (19.2%)
⚠️ Low Earnings Quality: Cash flow only 0.1x earnings — weak cash conversion

Risk Flags

🔴 2 Critical⚠️ 2 Warning3 Positive7 total flags
🔴Cash covers only 12% of current liabilities
Balance Sheet

Liquidity squeeze. Company may struggle to meet short-term obligations without refinancing.

🔴Operating cash flow significantly below net income
Cash Flow

OCF is only 0.1x net income. Profit not converting to cash — aggressive accounting possible.

⚠️90% of debt is short-term
Balance Sheet

High refinancing risk. Company needs to roll over debt frequently. Vulnerable to credit market freezes.

⚠️Working capital changes are 1572% of operating cash flow
Cash Flow

Working capital is consuming significant cash. Operational efficiency declining.

Receivables decreasing — 10.9% of revenue
Cash Flow

Collection cycle changing. Collection improving — positive for cash flow.

High promoter holding: 63%
Governance

Strong insider alignment. Promoters have significant skin in the game.

Price/Sales: 0.9x — reasonable revenue multiple
Valuation

Company not overvalued on revenue basis.

🔴 2 CRITICAL flags — significant concerns. Investigate before investing.

Data Quality

95/100All ratios self-computed from verified sources. 🟢 5 years of financial data — sufficient for trend analysis

News Correlation

margin pressure (4)management outlook (4)
Our margin analysis (declining) matches news reports of cost/margin pressure

50 articles scanned for fundamental themes

Facts

P/E Ratio
9.5UNAVAILABLE
P/B Ratio
1.8HIGH
Market Cap
₹1883867.1L CrHIGH
From 52W High
84% of high
Sector Peers
10
Chambal Fertilisers Stock Analysis, Valuation, Fundamentals & Intelligence | FynSight