Daily brief
31 Jul 2026
Narrow leadership. Only few stocks driving the market. Breadth at 61%.
Nifty 50
24,317
+1.4%
Breadth
61%
above 50D
VIX
15.0
contained
Net flows
₹45,351 Cr
20 days
Summary
Indian equity markets are in a narrow leadership regime (62% confidence). Narrow leadership. Only few stocks driving the market. Breadth at 61%.
Foreign investors (FIIs) recorded a net inflow of ₹892 Cr over 8 sessions. Domestic institutions (DIIs) were net buyers at ₹44,459 Cr. Combined net flow: ₹45,351 Cr in. Breadth is 61% above the 50-day average (healthy).
Sector leadership sits in Nifty IT, Nifty Pharma, Nifty Private Bank, with Nifty Realty and Nifty Metal lagging. VIX is 15 (contained). The key question is whether breadth expands beyond current leadership.
Regime
NARROW LEADERSHIP
Narrow leadership. Only few stocks driving the market. Breadth at 61%.
The index is driven by a small group of stocks while the broader market lags. FII selling and sector concentration are common. This usually resolves when breadth expands or leaders roll over.
Classifier confidence: 62%
Breadth
Healthy participation · trend: moderate
Institutional flows
FII (20d)
₹892 Cr
DII (20d)
₹44,459 Cr
Net
₹45,351 Cr
Sectors
Leaders
- 1Nifty IT
- 2Nifty Pharma
- 3Nifty Private Bank
Laggards
- 1Nifty Realty
- 2Nifty Metal
Nifty 24,317.15 (+1.4%) · VIX 15
Historical context
Closest historical setups and their 14-day outcomes.
31 Mar 2023
Nifty 17,360 · VIX 12.9
+2.4% in 14d
09 Feb 2023
Nifty 17,893 · VIX 13
-2.5% in 14d
13 Mar 2018
Nifty 10,427 · VIX 14.5
-2.9% in 14d
Outlook
Neutral with downside risk
Triggers to watch:
- FII selling streak breaks
- Breadth expands above 40% (now 61%)
- Bank Nifty holds support
Watch tomorrow
Breadth healthy at 61%. Watch if it drops below 50% — first sign of deterioration.
Check tomorrow's FII/DII provisional data at 4 PM IST for early flow direction.
